- Mon Jun 10, 2024 8:45 pm
#69755
Give up with the attacks on Labour, lads. Do some negative campaigning v Reform.
Youngian wrote: ↑Mon Jun 10, 2024 8:03 pm Andrea Jenkyn throws in her lot with Laurence Fox’s Reclaim Party. If you voted for this certifiable lunatic over Ed Balls, you don’t deserve to live.Yes, but would Lozza shag her?
https://x.com/thereclaimparty/status/17 ... Dkr8MiQKBg
Tubby Isaacs wrote: ↑Mon Jun 10, 2024 3:02 pmYeah.mattomac wrote: ↑Mon Jun 10, 2024 12:53 amI'm assuming you met Candy Atherton, right?
The problem with some of the analysis of 1997 is it misses massive changes in some places, Bournemouth is an example, Cornwall another effectively Labour’s university policy changed places not to mention house prices and throw in where the Lib Dem’s haven’t been able to gain back a foothold.
Some places will need to be won for a majority but not every Blair seat. Cornwall for example I’ve met 50% of the Labour MPs that place has had.
It should have 2, maybe even 3 and some rumours of an outside chance of 4 on current polling.
I hadn't thought of demographics being particularly helpful to Labour in Cornwall, but you're probably right. Also should be a fair bit of Brexit unwinding there too.
Watchman wrote: ↑Mon Jun 10, 2024 10:16 pmMaybe next week, I hear he's on a losing streak.Youngian wrote: ↑Mon Jun 10, 2024 8:03 pm Andrea Jenkyn throws in her lot with Laurence Fox’s Reclaim Party. If you voted for this certifiable lunatic over Ed Balls, you don’t deserve to live.Yes, but would Lozza shag her?
https://x.com/thereclaimparty/status/17 ... Dkr8MiQKBg
Tubby Isaacs wrote: ↑Tue Jun 11, 2024 5:17 pm Um, you know what I said about Reform? Forget it.Yeahbut Corbyn got 40%. Starmer must resign.
The Lab-LD thing might be noise, or might be a bunch of people responding to "Labour can't win here!" bar chart flyers.
Youngian wrote: ↑Tue Jun 11, 2024 5:38 pm A higher Lib Dem vote won’t affect Labour’s tally apart from Sheffield Hallam and Labour in Cambridge getting a bit nervous. But it will mean less Tory seats.Yep, the Lib Dems getting to within a few percentage points of the Tories would be an absolute disaster for Sunak. I'm more than happy for Labour to leak a few points in the Lib Dem direction if it means the Tories getting blown out of the water across much of Surrey, Oxfordshire and Cambridgeshire.
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