Youngian wrote: ↑Thu Feb 02, 2023 7:45 am
The media plays a massively important role still, the press I’m less sure.
The rest of the British media starts its day by reporting newspaper headlines, a practice that’s become increasingly baffling as circulation declines. It was easy to think GE2017 was a tipping point for press power but was it? They went easy on Corbyn up until that election to keep him there and his rancid foreign policy history wasn’t common knowledge. That all changed and Corbyn was such easy meat, reporting stuff he’d done was far more effective than invented smears about being a Czech agent. We should hold our horses again on this hope of press influence decline. They don’t have diddly squat on Starmer yet approval ratings are not high. I don’t recall ‘boring’ being a factor not to vote for Thatcher over Kinnock who apparently clowned around and wasn’t serious enough to be PM.
The problem is there is not at this point any reason to not go after Starmer, and his approval ratings aren’t bad to be honest. I still don’t see them deciding an election anymore than they have done for the last ten years.
There is actually every chance the Times might come out for Labour, the Express under Trinity Mirror are laying the ground in the Express I feel (under a banner of regret). You’ve also forgot news media consumption is down.
And the 6 and the 10 the big ones don’t run the newspapers. I’m not saying it’s a foregone conclusion but I do think a fair bit of concern is based on how it’s always been.
It should be almost impossible for Labour to be where they are in the polls but I do feel the 2019 is an anomaly between a salient issue and a poor opposition.
The believe that it is only Labour who had worry about the committed voter floating is something the Tories have misunderstood.
I could be completely wrong but there will be southern seats that spring a surprise or two. This is 2009 so it is entirely possible the Tories can claw back enough, but I do feel the elections this spring will show a very similar situation to them, one which to all intents looked like finishing Labour.
I respect Mandelson a lot but I do think a fair few of the new Labour old guard don’t quite understand it anymore, we’ve been told time and time again that Starmer is too timid, that he is making mistakes and so on and yet look where he is and look how much more primeministeral he looks. I think Labour have a strategy but it’s not going be shared, they won’t do a Miliband and I remember thinking bad idea when he ruled out a coalition and yet he may not need it.
The old adage is a week is a long time in politics, but Sunak’s popularity is heading to the Tory party levels.