Mailwatch(ed) Forum

If you’re wondering why you’ve stop seeing Kemi Badenoch on TV saying very silly things, she’s busy in her constituency.

If that’s accurate then it really is about squeezing that vote.

Some people will still vote Reform here, I do worry they will get more votes than what is being suggested however they seem to more from the DKs, you know that lot the Tories needed rather than switches.

Doesn’t help them a lot unless the Tory vote really hollows out.

Labour’s not jittery just to keep the troops on their feet, the ‘don’t knows’ out there are still numerous even if there is no longer any love for the Tories.

I'm prepared to vote Green if that's the best way to defeat Sir Bill Wiggin, and it seems like it is.

In the meantime, prominent online Corbynite thinks it's outrageous to expect Greens to vote Labour in Clacton to defeat Nigel Farage. Doubtless the Labour core vote is people like him, right?

Fuck me, Starmer's a eugenicist? Who knew?

Clacton’s Labour candidate appears to be making a lot of friends as the Tory vote rescinds. Looks like a future Doctor Who (no clever dick time travel related quibbles, please).
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/p ... 63528.html

I've only just noticed that Ian Lavery is standing as a Labour MP again at this election, in the new constituency of Blyth & Ashington.

Very surprised at that, I'd have thought the current leadership would've easily found a way of getting him out of their hair by now. He doesn't strike me as being a likely loyal backbencher for the next five years?

Only really Corbyn and Russell-Moyle were forced out, wasn't it? A few more (Winter, Tarry and Whitley) lost selection. So there will be a lot of them still around.

Genius Tory strategist, James Johnson here. Maybe you can write off Bournemouth, Bracknell and Bury St Edmunds too.

Another genius coming to the rescue of Reform’s spending plans with this zinger.

Rishi has his best troops on the job, this week.

The Ipsos MRP model published this afternoon seemingly has the Greens winning North Herefordshire by a margin of six per cent over the Tories

paging @Tubby Isaacs !!!

Link: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/uk-opinion- ... ection-mrp

Yeah, seen it!

Bit doubtful of the hard to model seats on this poll, but as long as they're at least second, they get my vote.

There’s still a large don’t know contingent out there that could distort all these results. Peterborough is all over the place and it doesn’t feel like Labour has sealed the deal. The only certainty is there’s no longer any love for the Tories. Labour’s not just downplaying to keep the troops on their toes or quell hubris.

Onn the other hand, here's something more optimistic.

Tory support in Kent has been propped up by "Brexit bonus, coming soon!" since 2015. So you'd expect Kent to swing strongly against the Tories. But this is almost too good to be true.

Stats for lefties poll. Lee’s right to be sceptical.

Tubby Isaacs wrote: ↑Tue Jun 18, 2024 8:31 pm Onn the other hand, here's something more optimistic.

Tory support in Kent has been propped up by "Brexit bonus, coming soon!" since 2015. So you'd expect Kent to swing strongly against the Tories. But this is almost too good to be true.

Priced out Londoners moving in? Under an hour’s commute.

Youngian wrote: ↑Tue Jun 18, 2024 10:05 pm Stats for lefties poll. Lee’s right to be sceptical.

Yet again the Jezzites show their support for fascism.

They’ll be an arguing that Lee’s popularity is a protest against Starmer’s neoliberalism and would win Ashfield by standing Arthur Scargill.

Paddy Power are giving 9/2 against the Tories getting 141 seats or more. That's not only a value bet but if you lost you'd be even happier.