- Sat May 22, 2021 4:13 pm
#3380
Labour is beset by problems really. Their historical core constituent vote ("red wall", an awful phrase which only apparated in 2019) doesn't want them anymore. The former miners and the deep seated hatred of Thatcher are becoming a memory. Constituencies in desolate former industrial cities are ghost towns, the only people there are overwhelmingly older and more reactionary. The young have all migrated to cities for hopes of some sort of employment. These cities saw desolation under Thatcher, and a significant failure of redevelopment under Blair/Brown (who took the left vote as a given, and chased the centre vote). Now these safe seats are angry, having had poison dripped into their ears by the whole political establishment for decades about how the EU stops us from doing good things. It's no wonder they voted leave, it's the same "just change *something*" energy that created Trump. And they aren't turning out for Labour because, what has Labour done for them? What does Labour promise to do for them?
Labour's hope is with the young (by which I mean under 40 or so). A precariat with no assets, bad jobs and no investment in the status quo. Corbyn, whatever you may think of him, was tapping into this group. Labour will never be able to offer more racism and flag shagging than the Tories, and it's stupid to try. Labour's 2017 manifesto was very popular, and the ideas in it still are. If it can offer an optimistic vision for the future, it will win and survive and thrive. If it continues under Starmer to try to offend nobody and say nothing, it will die.