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Re: Hubristic Predictions

Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:23 pm
by Malcolm Armsteen
The boundaries have been changed, but it looks pretty safe Torritory to me. Losing Waddon and gaining Park Hill looks likely to suppress the Labour vote.

Re: Hubristic Predictions

Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 7:32 pm
by Tubby Isaacs
Have we had this hubristic prediction? From The Economist's guy.


Re: Hubristic Predictions

Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:06 pm
by lambswool
Malcolm Armsteen wrote: Thu Jul 04, 2024 6:31 pm I just won £25 on the Premium Bonds.

Could that be an omen?
Even better, I’ve won £200!

Re: Hubristic Predictions

Posted: Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:11 pm
by mattomac
I am going with

Lab 390
Con 180

Re: Hubristic Predictions

Posted: Fri Jul 05, 2024 12:30 pm
by Killer Whale
Killer Whale wrote: Wed Jul 03, 2024 7:41 am Tory total wipe-out in Wales. I'll be disappointed with anything less at this point.
As the Red Wall (the real one, not the one made up by the media) like to sing, accompanied by the Barry Horns doing Papa's Got a Brand New Pigbag:

"Da-da-da-da
Fuck the Tories!"


Re: Hubristic Predictions

Posted: Fri Jul 05, 2024 1:10 pm
by Malcolm Armsteen
I'm sorry Plaid didn't get more.

Re: Hubristic Predictions

Posted: Fri Jul 05, 2024 1:16 pm
by Tubby Isaacs
I don't know how close they came in the seats they didn't win. Fairly close in Llanelli but came third.

Re: Hubristic Predictions

Posted: Fri Jul 05, 2024 1:50 pm
by Killer Whale
Once you get past Llanelli and Bangor/Aberconwy, things get very difficult, at least in Westminster elections. I know that the local party in Maldwyn & Glyndŵr, with a well-known and trusted local candidate, and a springboard from the last Senedd election, had their eyes on second place with big ambitions to build from there. I think we finished fifth, albeit in what, effectively, was a five horse race.
I'd love us to be able to crack the Valleys, and we've felt that we've been on the verge of it several times, but frustratingly it looks like Reform YUK have walked in and almost done that without even trying.