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Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Thu Nov 09, 2023 2:16 pm
by Youngian
Carry on Suella

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Thu Nov 09, 2023 2:53 pm
by Tubby Isaacs
Well at least they've still got tbe base. Oh hang on.


Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Thu Nov 09, 2023 3:45 pm
by Youngian
Three percent away from third place.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Thu Nov 09, 2023 5:39 pm
by Tubby Isaacs
Five, but tactical voting could put them third, for sure.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Wed Nov 22, 2023 10:47 pm
by Abernathy
Phil Moorhouse still thinks a May election is likely.


Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Wed Nov 22, 2023 11:19 pm
by Oboogie
The evidence for a May election is mounting.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Thu Nov 23, 2023 12:42 am
by mattomac
I have this odd feeling they go earlier.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Thu Nov 23, 2023 8:01 am
by Samanfur

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Fri Nov 24, 2023 12:44 am
by mattomac
Well he did in the latest YG poll, he got it down to errr 19 (and that’s mostly due to them being so low the last week), nothing in Techne seems to be reversing though, they’ve recorded another pt gain for Lab.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Mon Nov 27, 2023 6:29 pm
by Abernathy
Mr. Moorhouse’s latest apercus.


Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Sun Dec 10, 2023 12:14 am
by Abernathy
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/t ... 9d94&ei=13

Tories could collapse to 130 seats in general election, polling expert warns
😊

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Sun Dec 10, 2023 12:38 am
by Malcolm Armsteen
Fine by me.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Sun Dec 10, 2023 10:52 am
by Bones McCoy
Malcolm Armsteen wrote: Sun Dec 10, 2023 12:38 am Fine by me.
I can work with that.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Sun Dec 10, 2023 2:37 pm
by Rosvanian
Disappointed. I was hoping for even fewer.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Sun Dec 10, 2023 3:07 pm
by Oboogie
It could be fewer, particularly if the there's a change of leader. A lot depends on what happens in the next 72 hours.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Mon Dec 11, 2023 12:21 am
by mattomac
Interesting to note this week demonstrated a slight rise in the Lib Dem vote for no real reason the only thing I heard is they had no policies though that’s probably a good thing.

Tactical voting will be higher this time out.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Wed Dec 27, 2023 10:17 pm
by Abernathy
Hunt has announced that his budget is going to be on 6 March, which is a little early, and it has triggered speculation that Sunak might go to the country in early May.

There’s also talk of some big giveaway gestures, or attempted bribes, such as the abolition of inheritance tax (yet again) and a revival of the “help to buy” scheme.

Bring on the spring.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Wed Dec 27, 2023 10:44 pm
by davidjay
Abernathy wrote: Wed Dec 27, 2023 10:17 pm Hunt has announced that his budget is going to be on 6 March, which is a little early, and it has triggered speculation that Sunak might go to the country in early May.

There’s also talk of some big giveaway gestures, or attempted bribes, such as the abolition of inheritance tax (yet again) and a revival of the “help to buy” scheme.

Bring on the spring.
Logically, it has to be spring. They won't risk going to the wire and it's going to be harder for them to GOTV than us. We'll brave storm and tempest whereas the electors they need are likely to see it's raining and stay at home.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2023 8:25 am
by Youngian
How wide is the electorate that is clamoring for inheritance tax cuts? ‘One day I could be a millionaire’ is not even a thing in American politics anymore.
It does help inform voters who the Tories really are.

Re: General Election 2023-24

Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2023 9:07 am
by Oboogie
davidjay wrote: Wed Dec 27, 2023 10:44 pm
Abernathy wrote: Wed Dec 27, 2023 10:17 pm Hunt has announced that his budget is going to be on 6 March, which is a little early, and it has triggered speculation that Sunak might go to the country in early May.

There’s also talk of some big giveaway gestures, or attempted bribes, such as the abolition of inheritance tax (yet again) and a revival of the “help to buy” scheme.

Bring on the spring.
Emily Maitlis reckons Sunak won't go to the polls before October 24th as his ego won't be happy with less than two years in post. I suspect that the amount of taxpayer's money he can direct his family's way would be a bigger motivator for him. That said, I think it'll be May as the longer he leaves it, the worse the defeat, so his backbenchers will force to go sooner.

Logically, it has to be spring. They won't risk going to the wire and it's going to be harder for them to GOTV than us. We'll brave storm and tempest whereas the electors they need are likely to see it's raining and stay at home.