Mailwatch(ed) Forum

Voted tactically for Tan Dhesi in Slough.

Three hours to go.

Is a big turnout really a threat to Labour?

I taking that as desperate "straw clutching" by the Mail

slilley wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 6:47 pm Voted tactically for Tan Dhesi in Slough.

No need here its a straight fight between us and Tories (Electoral Calculus - usual caveats apply - has us at 99%)

Sunder Katwala suggests that big turnout should be bad for Reform, because they have a relatively small number of supporters who are all very motivated. I could certainly live with that.

Reform have probably not got many boots on the ground knocking on doors ensuring all their potential voters actually get to the polling stations.

We’ve just had eight years of Farage government but grifters often return to their marks to fleece them for a second time.

I’m thinking Channel 4 is looking like a good place to watch things unfold. Emily Maitlis, Jon Sopel, Krishnan Guru-Murthy, Alastair Campbell and Rory Stewart, and err, the folk off Gogglebox. And they’re doing away with ad breaks for the whole night.

Of course, I’ll start at 10pm for the sheer drama of the Big Ben bongs and the announcement of the BBC exit poll. Can’t miss that.

I may hop around the channels a bit, though.

Bit nervous of this. Labour could be winning votes where they're too far behind and not winning them where they need them. Or it could all be rubbish.

If this is true, well done chaps, as always. But probably not that many seats where this could be a big problem. I suppose it's better that it's this way round.

Malcolm Armsteen wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 6:53 pm Three hours to go.

Is a big turnout really a threat to Labour?

it will certainly piss all over the "no appetite for Starmer" platoon.

Tubby Isaacs wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 9:04 pm Bit nervous of this. Labour could be winning votes where they're too far behind and not winning them where they need them. Or it could all be rubbish.

"People seem happier than other people" is no basis for a system of government.

Bones McCoy wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 9:10 pm
"People seem happier than other people" is no basis for a system of government.

That's a very sane response. Appreciate it. Though makes me more converned that Corbyn will win, as a side issue.

Bones McCoy wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 9:07 pm

Malcolm Armsteen wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 6:53 pm Three hours to go.

Is a big turnout really a threat to Labour?

it will certainly piss all over the "no appetite for Starmer" platoon.

That rather depends which way they vote. Some pollsters were assuming a low turnout caused by disgruntled Tories staying at home, if enough of those people manage to gruntle themselves afterall, that's not good for Labour.

Who's nervous?

Fuck yes...

Fuck me, properly bricking it now

Urgh, Channel 4's got Anne Widdecombe on...

10 minutes to go.

Brace yourselves.

I am weirdly nervous, but I have to keep telling myself this is for no reason. Because unless it’s been rigged, Labour have won, and won decently, and the country will be better off with them in power and with a rejuvenated Lib Dem block and a severely weakened Tory rump.

All being well, no threat to that for a *decade*. Hopefully longer. That’s a lot of time to put things right.